主題：City Size Distribution and Economic Growth:
The Case of China
主講：江艇
時間：2008年1月4日（周五）下午14:30-16:30
地點：明德樓主樓728會議室
Abstract: This paper empirically explores the relationship between city size distribution and economic growth, based on a panel analysis using China`s provincial data from 1984 to 2005. We first estimate Zipf’s coefficient, which is a proper measure of city size distribution, for each province in each sample year, using Gabaix and Ibragimov`s (2006) method. Second, we propose and verify a nonlinear relationship between Zipf’s coefficient and GDP growth rate, capturing the idea that government intervention on labor migration distorts city size distribution and entails productivity loss, so that the deviation of Zipf’s coefficient from its optimal value will have substantial negative impact on economic growth. Third, we construct a VAR model with which the co-evolution of city size distribution and economic growth can be illustrated. Simulation results based on the estimated VAR model uncover the growth effect of exogenous shock to city size distribution, yielding clear policy implications.

作者簡歷：江艇，人大經濟學院2003屆本科畢業生，現為香港科技大學經濟系博士候選人。


中國人民大學經濟學院
2008年1月2日

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