國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)Seminar （第14期）

    國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)Seminar由中國(guó)人民大學(xué)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)管理系主辦，其宗旨是從國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)管理的視角，構(gòu)建一個(gè)開放的學(xué)術(shù)交流平臺(tái)，推動(dòng)研究與教學(xué)工作。

時(shí)間：2016年5月25日（周三）中午12:00—13:30 地點(diǎn)：明德主樓734會(huì)議室

主講：陳全潤(rùn) 主題：Structural decomposition analyses: the differences between applying the semi-closed and the open input-output model

摘要：The open and the semi-closed input-output modelare widely used in impact analysis but usually yield considerably different outcomes. This paper examines whether such differences also exist in structural decomposition analyses. The empirical part considers the decomposition of the growth in gross output and in labor compensation, for China (1997-2007) and for a set of 35 other countries.Our main findings are twofold. First, for gross output growth, both models yield very similar results for the factors they have in common. Therefore, if only the contribution of these common factors is of interest, it does not matter whether the semi-closed or the open input-output model is used. Second, for the analysis of labor compensation growth, both models may yield significantly different results for the labor compensation coefficients . Therefore, if the contribution of changes in labor compensation coefficients is of interest, the semi-closed model is recommended to be used.

作者簡(jiǎn)介：陳全潤(rùn)，對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)院講師，獲中國(guó)科學(xué)院數(shù)學(xué)與系統(tǒng)科學(xué)研究院管理學(xué)博士學(xué)位、荷蘭格羅寧根大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)博士學(xué)位。研究領(lǐng)域?yàn)橥度氘a(chǎn)出分析、經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測(cè)、全球價(jià)值鏈。相關(guān)論文發(fā)表于Environment and Planning A, Journal of Industrial Ecology, Economic Modelling等雜志。

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