[宏觀經濟學研討會]Economic Growth and Convergence Applied Specially to China
發文時間:2016-10-17
【ECON20161215】
宏觀經濟學研討會 (總第210期)  
【時間】2016年10月19日(周三)12:15-13:45 【地點】明商0302教室 【主講】韓少華 中國人民大學漢青經濟與金融高級研究院 【主題】Economic Growth and Convergence Applied Specially to China (R. Barro, NBER Working Papers, 2016) 【摘要】From the perspective of conditional convergence, China’s GDP growth rate since 1990 has been surprisingly high. However, China cannot deviate forever from the global historical experience, and the per capita growth rate is likely to fall soon from around 8% per year to a range of 3 4%. The cross-country dispersion of the log of per capita GDP shows no trend since 1870 for 25 countries with long-term data. This group excludes emerging-market countries such as China and India. For 34 countries with data since 1896, there is clear evidence of declining dispersion starting around 1980. This pattern reflects especially the incorporation of China and India into the world market economy. 【主持】陳彥斌 教授

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