經濟學院講師楊成論文在Economic History Review上正式發表
發文時間:2022-03-18

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 近日,經濟學院講師楊成論文 “中國1734-1898年男性人口職業結構分產業、次級產業及分地區新估測”A new estimate of Chinese male occupational structure during 1734–1898 by sector, sub-sector pattern, and region)在《經濟史評論Economic History Review)》上正式發表。

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內容摘要

Based on the Xingke Tiben, this paper assesses the long-run economic development of China, by constructing a new estimate of male occupational structure during 1734–1898 by sector, sub-sector pattern, and region. After assessing the source’s biases, using this new empirical basis, this paper demonstrates that the national male occupational structure was nearly identical in 1761–70, 1821–30, and 1881–90, suggesting a long-lasting structural stasis of the national economy, allowing for fluctuations between benchmark dates. Within agriculture, substantial regional differences in labour organisation are revealed. Three distinct models are found: the Northern Regions model features a high usage of wage labour, the Yangtze Valley model presents a high level of tenancy development, and the Southern Regions model displays the highest share of landowners. All three models saw increasing use of wage labour in 1761–1890 and shrinking landownership in 1821–90. At the regional level, the long-run estimate for Lower Yangtze suggests that the region as a whole stagnated throughout the entire period, but the overall structural stasis hides dynamic, contrasting long-run economic change between the region’s core and peripheral areas. Comparative analysis with England further suggests that the timing of the Great Divergence between China and England took place before 1734, even in the context of the regional difference.


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作者簡介

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成,中國人民大學經濟學院講師,中國人民大學中國經濟史研究中心研究員,劍橋大學人口史與社會結構史研究所長期研究成員。 畢業于北京大學、南加州大學、劍橋大學,歷史學博士。 研究領域為中國長期經濟發展、大分流、中西比較社會經濟史,近期集中于中國長期人口職業結構史及中西長期人口職業結構比較史等。 曾獲2019年經濟史學會年度新人獎。楊成老師 圍繞人口職業結構研究、大分流問題等主題發表多篇高質量學術論文,撰寫書目章節收錄于齋藤修,李·肖泰勒所編《Occupational structure, industrialization and economic growth in a comparative perspective》一書,并在劍橋大學的Core Seminar in Economic and Social History就“中國人口職業結構1736-1898與大分流”主題做專題講座。
主講課程包括:本科課程:《檔案世界中的經濟社會史》,《工業革命、大分流與現代增長》(開設于每年秋季學期)。 碩士/博士課程: 《史料學》(開設于每年春季學期)全英文課程: 《From the Industrial revolution to the Modern Economic Growth》(開設于每年七月國際小學期)。
迎感興趣的同學旁聽或選修楊成老師的課程,也歡迎同學們積極報名參加相關研究項目。