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近日，經濟學院教授孫浦陽合作論文《The impacts of tropical storms on food prices: Evidence from China》在《American Journal of Agriculture Economics》2022年九月刊正式發表。

內容摘要：

Climate change is a major source of external shocks to the economy. In this article, we estimate the short-term impacts of tropical storms on food prices. After matching the track records of tropical storms with retail prices of food products during 1998 and 2012 in China, we find that tropical storms lead to food prices increasing by 2.3%, and the effect lasts more than one month. The positive impacts on prices mainly concentrate on fresh vegetable products. One main channel of price increases caused by tropical storms is the supply-side shock to the transportation and distribution system. We find limited evidence of price increases driven by demand-side shocks such as food displacement and food composition changes. The impacts of tropical storms on food price increases lead to a total loss amounting to $92 million each year on average. This study contributes to literature evaluating the price impacts caused by tropical storms and provides policy implications on enhancing food supply resilience.

作者簡介：

中國人民大學經濟學院世界經濟教研室教授、博士生導師。經濟學博士, 畢業于英國伯明翰大學，英國諾丁漢大學。研究主要圍繞國際經濟與區域、發展經濟等問題，近年研究 “服務與數字貿易” “供應鏈與市場價格” “服務投資與網絡”等具體問題。教育部青年長江學者、張培剛發展經濟學青年學者獎、霍英東教師基金獎勵、安子介國際貿易優秀論文、天津青年拔尖人才獎勵和社科優秀成果獎等。科研成果發表在國內外頂級權威期刊，主持社科和教育部重大等項目。教學國際經濟學、世界經濟等課程，教學獲得天津市教學基本功大賽三等獎等。