數量與計量經濟學系學術講座系列第26期
發文時間:2025-05-22

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講座時間:2025年5月28日 14:00-15:30

講座地點:明德主樓729

主講人:車曉剛 倫敦大學城市學院經濟學系副教授

主持人:崔志偉教授

主題:顛覆者:特斯拉Model 3發布會的影響研究


講座簡介:

As a game changer, the arrival of the Tesla Model 3 on March 31, 2016, significantly affected the market for combustion engine sedan and hatchback cars, rather than cars with other body types. Using eBay used car auction data, we examine the extent to which the Model 3 announcement impacts the prices and transaction quantities of these vehicles. Our analysis reveals that while the average auction final price decreases significantly, the transaction quantity remains unaffected. We further find robust evidence indicating that the price decline primarily results from a decrease in buyers’ willingness to pay, approximately 6 percent, driven by lowered expectations of the cars’ future residual values. Our welfare analysis suggests that while the market maintains allocative efficiency, there is a redistributive effect that the decrease in willingness to pay entirely translates into lower seller surplus, and consequently, sellers bear almost all the welfare loss. The asymmetric welfare impact highlights sellers’ limited ability to adjust supply in the short run within the used car market.

個人簡介:

車曉剛,倫敦城市大學經濟學系Reader,曾任杜倫大學助理教授。獲悉尼大學經濟學博士,研究聚焦拍賣機制、產業組織及數字經濟,于《Journal of Marketing Research》《American Economic Journal: Microeconomics》《Games and Economic Behavior》等頂級期刊發表論文20余篇。主持英國研究理事會(UKRI)“The Impacts of Central Bank Digital Currency on Banking Industry: Empirical Evidence from China.”的項目并以“Willingness to Pay for Brand Reputation: Lessons from the Volkswagen Diesel Emissions Scandal.”得到British Academy Small Research Grant。現任《International Journal of Finance & Economics》副主編等。